So its no surprise that A) the Lions played from far behind frequently and B) Stafford ended up tossing many passes to the steady Jones. Despite having a rookie quarterback under center, theyve called 65 passes and only six runs this season. [] >> Read More: The garbage time conundrum: when are most of Jalen Hurts stats generated? Its hard to be as bad as the Texans are when your quarterback is playing as well as Watson is, but the Texans found a way. The first thing to notice is that the top of the list is populated by back ups and marginal starters - exactly as one would expect, since such guys often see a significant chunk of their work in mop-up duty. In conclusion, plays that take place during the following game situations have been deemed garbage time: (1) Final two minutes of the second half, (2) while trailing in the fourth quarter, (3) while ahead in the second quarter, (4) down by 21 or more points at any time, (5) down by 14 or more points after the first quarter, and (6) up by 21 or more points in the second half. The Real Housewives of Atlanta The Bachelor Sister Wives 90 Day Fiance Wife Swap The Amazing Race Australia Married at First Sight The Real Housewives of Dallas My 600-lb Life Last Week Tonight with John Oliver. Meanwhile, their opponent (well say Houston), is also going to be impacted by this game situation. Davis overall numbers and first-round pedigree should attract free agent suitors this offseason, but hes generally invisible when the rest of the Titans offense is clicking. Note that by these criteria (and the PFR/Stathead search I used), a game may have "garbage time" in the 3rd/4th, then get close enough by the end to no longer be considered garbage time (e.g. The following production comes when the players team is. Its hard to define, but we all know it when we see it. The losers usually have to keep struggling and striving until that last DFS-altering, point spread-ruining, over-clearing, Kirk Cousins-enriching touchdown. Minshew also attempted 78 garbage-time passes as a rookie in 2019. The Eagles went into 2021 with the mindset that they need to make one of two decisions moving forward: Hurts has made his fair share of poor decisions and questionable throws early on, but the on-field production is there. If you're down 21 in the forth and win it was never garbage time. On the other hand, its hard to be too optimistic about a quarterbacks future who always seems to look gritty and determined when playing from way, way behind. Hopefully, after today, the garbage-time stat-sheet-stuffer narrative can finally be put to rest. All other NFL-related trademarks are trademarks of the National Football League. Kirk gonna Kirk. We know its there. Its broad enough to include every situation in which the game is totally out of hand, the defense has started sitting back in prevent mode, and an opportunistic quarterback can begin fluffing his stats with short passes. for NFL news and in-depth analysis concerning the 2021 season and beyond. The official source for NFL news, video highlights, fantasy football, game-day coverage, schedules, stats, scores and more. Ive taken the liberty of diving deeper into each scenario: >> Read More: Report: Eagles are officially OUT on QB Deshaun Watson. Privacy Policy. NFL . 2021 NFL Season Standard Player Stats Passing Rushing Receiving Scrimmage Stats Defense Kicking Punting Kick & Punt Returns Scoring Fantasy Player Stats Player Fantasy Ranks Red Zone Passing Red Zone Rushing Red Zone Receiving Defense vs. Pos RB TE QB WR Weeks Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Is Davis underutilized in an offense loaded with other weapons? I havent watched enough Texans games this year to say one way or the other what Watsons season has been like, but I remember everyone thought Blake Bortles was on the cusp of being elite when he gained massive garbage-time stats early in his career with the Jags. Yet, our definition gives us enough plays to analyze players without making things too complicated. I bet he would have taken it. One cannot become THE Kirk Cousins without the gift of being able to throw a touchdown just before the two-minute warning of a 52-33 loss (Week 16 vs. the Saints). Very sad that he puts up stats like this and they lose.. To do this, I examined every single offensive snap from the 2012 season through 12 weeks. Thats nearly double the league-wide 38 percent rate for teams ahead by four-to-six points in the fourth quarter. 2017-18. We dont think of Drake as a late-game workhorse. In these garbage-time situations, Cousins tossed an NFL-high, seven touchdown passes and he completed 73.8 percent of his attempts. If you ask me, garbage time is the portion of an NFL game where play-calling on both sides of the ball is disrupted by game situation. In a not-so-shocking development, youll notice that the ratings correlate well with the overall NFL standings. Nick Sirianni hasnt done Hurts many favors with the playcalling either. Teams up by one-to-three percent pass only half the time. Please also read our Privacy Notice and Terms of Use, which became effective December 20, 2019. Honestly, how many quarterbacks in todays NFL dont benefit from such accommodating circumstances? Football, has been, and continues to be, a team game. He tacks on some meaningless statistical production that obscures a less-than-stellar performance in the rest of the game. @AnalogErik appears to be on the same page. Whether it be his contract, his inability to win the big game on the road, or his record on Monday Night Football, Minnesota pigskin skeptics have no problem coming up with reasons why Cousins deserves a place closer to the rear of the NFL quarterback hierarchy. The Liberty Line is partnering with our friends over atPickupto give awayTWOCROSSNETS($150 value). AFC . Avoid those on teams that will do their best to run the ball (eg. Two followers took on the challenge of quantifying the garbage time phenomenon. Yet, the Rams are basing their Stafford evaluations and hopes on many things that happened in non-competitive losses. Yea if your team is badypure gunna spend a lot of time in garbage time. Also, continue to visitPro Football Networkfor NFL news and in-depth analysis concerning the 2021 season and beyond. Get all 32 NFL team offense stats on LINEUPS, including total offense, rushing offense, passing offense, and more. Who hasnt had their fantasy week ruined by a Kirk Cousins-to-Adam Thielen touchdown in the final seconds of a lopsided Minnesota Vikings loss? Some believe that Hurts has shown enough to warrant a longer leash with an improved roster; others are already clamoring for Malik Willis or Carson Strong in next years draft. He rushed 7 times in the fourth quarter of the teams 43-17 win over the 49ers. Maybe Stafford was a courageous warrior battling valiantly while everything around him collapsed over the last few seasons. Brian Flores Defense: Overview and Additional Resources, The Vikings Should Prioritize D.J. Wed expect to see more carries for Arian Foster and fewer throws for Matt Schaub. Gardner Minshew, Nick Mullens, Drew Lock, and Matthew Stafford all attempted more throws than Cousins last season when their teams trailed by at least 16 points in the second half of a contest. It's the NFL. We do leave play-calling in tie games in the mix since, as shown, the rate is fairly consistent with what wed normally expect. The Texans lost eight games this season in which Deshaun Watson threw 25 or more passes and had a passer rating over 100. How much of that was end of game bush yards? Absolutely, but not nearly to an extent that warrants any level of concern compared to his non-garbage-time scenarios. This is because theyre ahead often and run in garbage time. NFC . Ive watched this play from every angle multiple times and I just dont understand. Those numbers (sorted by percentage of attempts) are below. The Dak, Blake Bortles effect. When games are within one score, Hurts seems to be inaccurate and indecisive with the ball. I feel like just about everyone automatically puts up big numbers now. That can result in lots of carries and yards. ) Matt Ryan in 2016, when the Falcons went 11-5. Its hard to define, but we all know it when we see it. Keeping in mind that the overall NFL average for pass rate is 60 percent, consider that teams call pass a whopping 78 percent of the time during the final two minutes of the first half. You also know that garbage time can inflate the stats of some players or NFL teams. Philadelphia 76ers Premier League UFC. 2. Throughout the first six weeks of the season, Hurts has accumulated over 1800 total yards and 13 TDs, but is 28th in the league in QBR. You also know that garbage time can inflate the stats of some players or. Some team is likely to overpay to find out. The only surprise here is that Aaron Jones averaged just 3.7 yards per attempt. Matt Ryan had far more attempts than any of the others, and guys like Rodgers and Brady played all 48 games. . Pick a team in the above chart and scan across its rankings in each of the three categories. Lock completed just 55.7% of his passes for 5.2 yards per attempt in situations where opposing defenses generally ease off the throttle and allow some easy completions over the middle. pic.twitter.com/ajYQfqPNOq, Follow Victor Williams onTwitter,Instagram, andTikTok | Subscribe to The Philly Pod today. Luck, Eli), nor did I do anything about teams changing offensive schemes or anything**. The final score made this game look closer than it was the New. [] decent, but as we all know, many of those numbers came from garbage time, which seems to be an occurring theme for Hurts throughout the [], [] will be quick to tell you that a lot of the Eagles passing success has come in garbage time. Gaskin rushed 8 times in the fourth quarter of the Dolphins 31-13 win over the Jaguars. Youll never catch me scoffing at a quarterback with a triple-digit passer rating. At a glance, the data does support the garbage time narrative. And you would be correct! The following production comes when the players team isleadingby 16 points in the second half. When there is no way a team is going to come back and win. Now that the real complicated stuff is out of the way, I wanted to share a few more interesting charts. Starting []. New comments cannot be posted and votes cannot be cast. Here are the quarterbacks who threw the most passes in garbage-time situations last year. Maybe, maybe not. However, data mining was more straightforward this way. Watson had his great season on one of the worst teams in the NFL. When you compile all of Kirks production in garbage time from 2020, his numbers are: After looking at the numbers, there are definitely some legs to the narrative that Kirk has an ability to take his stats to another level when the game is essentially already decided. WFT on line 1, offering their 1st and 2nd for Watson. Its the draft time! 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